Fantasy football NFL Week 6 players to start and sit: Joe Burrow, Tim Patrick, Austin Ekeler

The start-or-sit dilemma is portion of managing a phantasy shot team.

Having the foresight to commencement the wide receiver who goes for 100 yards and a touchdown successful a matchup portion sitting a receiver against a shutdown cornerback is 1 of the keys to victory.

For this mentation of a start-or-sit, I’m going to beryllium listing each applicable phantasy shot players each week and placing them into tiers.

And to instrumentality immoderate of the guesswork retired of it, I’ll beryllium leveraging thousands of slate simulations that are based successful numberFire’s subordinate projections with dynamic measures for variance, specified arsenic backmost rushing, moving backmost receiving, and receiver people depth.

The results volition boil down to 3 tiers: players we should beryllium assured astir starting, players we tin see starting whenever we don’t person amended alternatives, but who aren’t must-plays and players we should effort to seat whenever we bash person amended alternatives.

These players are listed successful bid of frequence of hitting the stated threshold (i.e. QB12, RB24, WR24, and TE12 performances and higher connected the database means much start-able).

The groupings bespeak a 12-team, single-quarterback league with the pursuing hypothetical successful mind: if I had different viable options connected my seat oregon the waiver-wire, should I commencement this subordinate this week?

Players not listed should beryllium presumed sit-worthy successful a shallow oregon standard-sized league, and each phantasy points references and rankings bespeak half-PPR scoring.

QUARTERBACKS

Start with confidence
These players are astatine slightest 50% apt to decorativeness the week arsenic a top-12 quarterback, according to the slate simulations.

• Josh Allen astatine TEN (76%)
• Patrick Mahomes astatine WSH (73%)
• Lamar Jackson vs. LAC (68%)
• Tom Brady astatine PHI (59%)
• Dak Prescott astatine NE (58%)
• Justin Herbert astatine BAL (55%)
• Jalen Hurts vs. TB (55%)
• Matthew Stafford astatine NYG (54%)
• Kyler Murray astatine CLE (53%)

Consider if needed
This tier has likelihood betwixt 35% and 49% to station a top-12 week.

• Joe Burrow astatine DET (46%)
• Aaron Rodgers astatine CHI (45%)
• Trevor Lawrence vs. MIA (42%)
• Ryan Tannehill vs. BUF (41%)
• Taylor Heinicke vs. KC (39%)
• Jacoby Brissett astatine JAC (39%)
• Mac Jones vs. DAL (38%)
• Daniel Jones vs. LA (37%)
• Sam Darnold vs. MIN (35%)
• Baker Mayfield vs. ARI (35%)

Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow seems acceptable to play successful an indoor crippled against a Detroit Lions walk defence (which ranks 30th successful adjusted walk defense, via numberFire’s metrics).

Taylor Heinicke could person a shootout crippled against the Kansas City Chiefs, a crippled with a truly accelerated gait and 2 mediocre defenses (both sides are 26th oregon worse successful wide adjusted defense). Heinicke has astir league-average passing numbers and has, overall, overperformed versus anticipation based connected his ratio splits.

Bench if possible
These quarterbacks are nether 35% apt to nett a top-12 effect and apt aren’t successful the one-quarterback-league conversation.

• Derek Carr astatine DEN (34%)
• Carson Wentz vs. HOU (33%)
• Justin Fields vs. GB (32%)
• Kirk Cousins astatine CAR (32%)
• Jared Goff vs. CIN (30%)
• Teddy Bridgewater vs. LV (30%)
• Ben Roethlisberger vs. SEA (27%)
• Geno Smith astatine PIT (20%)
• Davis Mills astatine IND (17%)

RUNNING BACKS

Start with confidence: These moving backs are astatine slightest 60% apt to decorativeness the week wrong the apical 24, according to the slate simulations. You’re starting them.

• Christian McCaffrey vs. MIN (86%)
• Derrick Henry vs. BUF (81%)
• Najee Harris vs. SEA (79%)
• Ezekiel Elliott astatine NE (77%)
• Dalvin Cook astatine CAR (76%)
• Jonathan Taylor vs. HOU (74%)
• Austin Ekeler astatine BAL (73%)
• Joe Mixon astatine DET (73%)
• D’Andre Swift vs. CIN (70%)
• Nick Chubb vs. ARI (70%)
• Darrell Henderson astatine NYG (70%)
• Aaron Jones astatine CHI (69%)
• Antonio Gibson vs. KC (68%)
• James Robinson vs. MIA (67%)

Consider if needed
This tier is sitting betwixt 40% and 59% for an RB2 week, and you’re astir apt starting astir of them adjacent if they’re shy of that apical tier.

• Leonard Fournette astatine PHI (59%)
• Kareem Hunt vs. ARI (56%)
• Josh Jacobs astatine DEN (55%)
• Myles Gaskin astatine JAC (54%)
• Melvin Gordon vs. LV (53%)
• Javonte Williams vs. LV (53%)
• Miles Sanders vs. TB (52%)
• Damien Williams vs. GB (51%)
• Devontae Booker vs. LA (51%)
• Chase Edmonds astatine CLE (45%)
• Jamaal Williams vs. CIN (44%)
• Zack Moss astatine TEN (43%)
• Darrel Williams astatine WSH (42%)

Bench if possible
These backs are nether 40% apt to nett a top-24 result.

• Damien Harris vs. DAL (39%)
• Latavius Murray vs. LAC (39%)
• James Conner astatine CLE (37%)
• Khalil Herbert vs. GB (35%)
• Tony Pollard astatine NE (35%)
• Jerick McKinnon astatine WSH (32%)
• Devin Singletary astatine TEN (32%)
• Mark Ingram astatine IND (30%)
• Kenneth Gainwell vs. TB (30%)
• J.D. McKissic vs. KC (27%)
• A.J. Dillon astatine CHI (27%)
• Nyheim Hines vs. HOU (27%)
• Alexander Mattison astatine CAR (24%)
• David Johnson astatine IND (24%)
• Salvon Ahmed astatine JAC (23%)
• Sony Michel astatine NYG (23%)
• Chris Carson astatine PIT (23%)
• Alex Collins astatine PIT (21%).

WIDE RECEIVERS

Start with confidence
You’re starting these guys successful a 12-team league.

• Davante Adams astatine CHI (76%)
• Tyreek Hill astatine WSH (73%)
• Cooper Kupp astatine NYG (71%)
• Stefon Diggs astatine TEN (70%)
• DeAndre Hopkins astatine CLE (61%)
• Justin Jefferson astatine CAR (61%)
• Amari Cooper astatine NE (59%)
• D.J. Moore vs. MIN (59%)
• CeeDee Lamb astatine NE (59%)
• Mike Williams astatine BAL (54%)
• Terry McLaurin vs. KC (54%)
• A.J. Brown vs. BUF (52%)
• Ja’Marr Chase astatine DET (51%)
• Chris Godwin astatine PHI (51%)

Consider if needed
These players are much matchup-dependent than the tier supra but are apt wherever we are looking for a batch of our WR2, WR3, and FLEX plays this week.

• Mike Evans astatine PHI (48%)
• Brandin Cooks astatine IND (47%)
• DeVonta Smith vs. TB (46%)
• Keenan Allen astatine BAL (46%)
• Robert Woods astatine NYG (45%)
• D.K. Metcalf astatine PIT (45%)
• Tee Higgins astatine DET (43%)
• Diontae Johnson vs. SEA (42%)
• Jakobi Meyers vs. DAL (42%)
• Antonio Brown astatine PHI (41%)
• Marvin Jones vs. MIA (41%)
• Marquise Brown vs. LAC (41%)
• Allen Robinson vs. GB (39%)
• Courtland Sutton vs. LV (38%)
• DeVante Parker astatine JAC (37%)
• Michael Pittman Jr. vs. HOU (37%)
• Jaylen Waddle astatine JAC (36%)
• Chase Claypool vs. SEA (35%)
• Tyler Lockett astatine PIT (33%)
• Adam Thielen astatine CAR (32%)
• Emmanuel Sanders astatine TEN (32%)
• Odell Beckham vs. ARI (31%)

Bench if possible
These players finished arsenic a WR2 oregon amended nether 30% of the time.

• Cole Beasley astatine TEN (29%)
• Darnell Mooney vs. GB (29%)
• Robby Anderson vs. MIN (27%)
• Tim Patrick vs. LV (27%)
• Laviska Shenault vs. MIA (27%)
• Kadarius Toney vs. LA (25%)
• Tyler Boyd astatine DET (25%)
• Sterling Shepard vs. LA (24%)
• Hunter Renfrow astatine DEN (23%)
• A.J. Green astatine CLE (22%)
• Darius Slayton vs. LA (22%)
• Nelson Agholor vs. DAL (22%)
• Mecole Hardman astatine WSH (22%)
• Kalif Raymond vs. CIN (21%)
• Christian Kirk astatine CLE (21%)
• Rondale Moore astatine CLE (19%)

TIGHT END

Start with confidence

• Travis Kelce astatine WSH (85%)
• Darren Waller astatine DEN (76%)
• Mark Andrews vs. LAC (70%)
• T.J. Hockenson vs. CIN (54%)
• Dalton Schultz astatine NE (51%)

Consider if needed
You’ll apt beryllium starting these options if you don’t person a top-tier choky end.

• Mike Gesicki astatine JAC (49%)
• Noah Fant vs. LV (46%)
• Dawson Knox astatine TEN (46%)
• Jared Cook astatine BAL (40%)
• Jonnu Smith vs. DAL (40%)
• Hunter Henry vs. DAL (39%)
• Dan Arnold vs. MIA (39%)
• Tyler Higbee astatine NYG (37%)
• Ricky Seals-Jones vs. KC (35%)
• Robert Tonyan astatine CHI (35%)

Bench if possible
These choky ends aren’t successful the starting speech successful 12-team leagues unless you’re desperate.

• Cole Kmet vs. GB (33%)
• Zach Ertz vs. TB (33%)
• Austin Hooper vs. ARI (31%)
• Evan Engram vs. LA (30%)
• Anthony Firkser vs. BUF (28%)
• Tyler Conklin astatine CAR (23%)
• Jack Doyle vs. HOU (22%)
• David Njoku vs. ARI (22%)